Models ranked from lowest average deviation to highest average deviation

  1. Malay-Comoro Model: 2.41 days
  2. Mesoamerica Model: 3.02 days
  3. Baja Model: 3.23 days
  4. Malay-Olsen Model: 3.54 days
  5. Sri Lanka Model: 3.96 days
  6. Costa Rica Model: 5.34 days
  7. Heartland Model: 11.18 days

This ranking shows the Comoro Model as having the least deviation from the baseline, indicating it aligns more closely with the baseline expectations, while the Heartland Model has the highest deviation, indicating a larger departure from baseline expectations.

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